STANDARD COMPETENCIES

 

 1. Construct more detailed weather forecasts for a given context; select appropriate data sources, apply appropriate weight, and interpret data more accurately

 2. Construct more detailed avalanche forecasts for a given context; selecting appropriate data sources, applying appropriate weight to that data, interpreting data more accurately

 3. Provide constructive critique and assistance on forecasting work

 4. Choose effective communication methods based on audience and application

 TOPICAL OUTLINE

 

 I. Forecasting for various operational contexts and problems

 II. Communicating operational considerations for given contexts

 III. Describing degree of uncertainty and importance in various contexts

 IV. Incorporation of temporal and spatial contexts/scales in the forecast

 V. Application of the concepts of uncertainty and error in communicating the forecast

 VI. Application of the concepts of information strength and weight.

 VII. Advanced practice in forecast composition, presentation, and defense

 VIII. Critique of forecast products

 IX. Communication of the forecast: explore various media, language, iconography, audience considerations, and application

 X. Forecast verification

 XI. Forecast process documentation

 XII. Practicing making operational decisions through various exercises

 XIII. Concepts of team forecasting and resource utilization efficiency

 XIV. Legal considerations for forecasting